国际货币基金组织工作组结束对几内亚宏观经济形势的审议评估

国际货币基金组织（IMF）官网5月2日发布新闻稿。

    审议评估工作组的新闻稿包括IMF工作组团队在访问一个国家后传达初步调查结果的声明。本声明中表达的观点是IMF工作层的观点，并不代表IMF执董会的观点。根据这项任务的初步结果，工作人员将编写一份报告，在获得管理层批准的情况下，将提交给IMF执行董事会进行讨论和决定。

由于采矿业蓬勃发展，几内亚经济正在快速增长。

需要保持宏观经济的稳定并创造更高和更广泛的增长，以改善人民的生活水平和减少贫困。

加强几内亚的财政状况对维持稳定和中期债务可持续性至关重要。

几内亚当局与国际货币基金组织工作组于2018年4月3日至15日在几内亚首都科纳克里进行了讨论，并在美国华盛顿IMF总部举行的2018年春季会议期间，就经济政策和改革方案的第一次审查达成了一项工作层级的协议，中期优贷（ECF）安排。根据基金组织管理层的批准，预计该工作层协议将于2018年6月提交IMF执行董事会审议。

讨论结束时，国际货币基金组织几内亚代表团团长Giorgia Albertin作了如下发言：

几内亚当局和基金组织工作人员就经济政策和改革方案的第一次审查达成了工作人员一级的协议，该方案得到了三年的基金安排的支持，该安排旨在促进更广泛的基础增长并减少贫困，同时维护宏观经济稳定。

由于采矿业蓬勃发展，几内亚经济正在快速增长。 2017年的实际增长率高于8％，预计2018年将达到6％左右。2017年的总体通胀上涨至8.9％。

2017年采矿出口激增缩小了外部不平衡状况。外国直接投资采矿业持续增长。外汇储备增强。

几内亚的财政失衡在2017年恶化，基本财政赤字占GDP的1.1％。大于预算的公共投资和收入短缺削弱了财政表现。“

几内亚需要保持宏观经济的稳定，并创造更具包容性和广泛基础的增长，以减少贫困并提高人口的生活水平。

需要改善几内亚的财政状况以维持稳定和中期的可持续性。进一步积累外汇储备将加强外部缓冲。保持稳健的货币政策将是保持温和通胀的关键。

调动包含非优先支出的额外税收收入，逐步取消非目标电力补贴，同时加强社会安全网络以减少几内亚的财政失衡。

扩大公共基础设施投资需要与保持稳定和中期债务可持续性平衡。谨慎的借贷策略和加强公共财政和投资管理将是关键。

改善营商环境和治理以及金融包容性是促进私营部门发展和实现更广泛的增长的关键。

驻几内亚使馆经商处

2018年5月3日

IMF Reaches Staff Level Agreement on the First Review Under the ECF for Guinea

http://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2018/05/02/pr18159-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-on-the-first-review-under-the-ecf-for-guinea?cid=em-COM-123-37000

May 2, 2018

End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF's Executive Board for discussion and decision.

The Guinean economy is growing at a fast pace, driven by a buoyant mining sector.

Preserving macroeconomic stability and generating higher and more broad-based growth is needed to improve the living standards of the population and reduce poverty.

Strengthening Guinea’s fiscal position is pivotal to maintain stability and medium-term debt sustainability.

Following discussions between the Guinean authorities and IMF staff in Conakry from April 3-15, 2018 and during the 2018 Spring Meetings in Washington, a staff-level agreement was reached on the first review of the program of economic policies and reforms supported by a three-year Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement. Subject to IMF management approval, the staff-level agreement is expected to be submitted to the IMF Executive Board for its consideration in June 2018.

At the conclusion of the discussions, Giorgia Albertin, IMF Mission Chief for Guinea, made the following statement:

“The Guinean authorities and the IMF staff have reached a staff-level agreement on the first review of the program of economic policies and reforms supported by a three-year ECF arrangement which aims at fostering higher and broad-based growth and reduce poverty while preserving macroeconomic stability.”

“The Guinean economy is growing at a fast pace, driven by a buoyant mining sector. Real growth was above 8 percent in 2017 and it is expected at about 6 percent in 2018. Headline inflation picked up to 8.9 percent in 2017.”

“Surging mining exports narrowed external imbalances in 2017. The pick-up in foreign-direct investments in mining sector continued. Foreign exchange reserves strengthened.”

“Guinea’s fiscal imbalances deteriorated in 2017, recording a basic fiscal deficit of 1.1 percent of GDP. Larger-than-budgeted public investments and revenues shortfalls weakened the fiscal performance.”

“Preserving macroeconomic stability and generating more inclusive and broad-based growth is needed to reduce poverty and improving living standards of the population.”

“Improving Guinea’s fiscal position is needed to preserve stability and medium-term sustainability. Further accumulating foreign exchange reserves will reinforce external buffers. Maintaining a prudent monetary policy will be key to maintain moderate inflation”

“Mobilizing additional tax revenues, containing non-priority expenditures, gradually phasing out untargeted electricity subsidies while strengthening social safety nets is needed to reduce Guinea’s fiscal imbalances”

“Scaling-up public investments in infrastructure needs to be balanced with preserving stability and medium-term debt sustainability. A prudent borrowing strategy and strengthening public finance and investment management will be key.”

“Improving business climate and governance, and financial inclusion are pivotal to foster the development of the private sector and achieving more broad-based growth.”

IMF Communications Department

MEDIA RELATIONS

PRESS OFFICER: LUCIE MBOTO FOUDA

PHONE: +1 202 623-7100EMAIL: MEDIA@IMF.ORG